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"China has never and will never participate in any form of space arms race," according to a Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman. Yet the shooting down of one of its own weather satellites has alarmed many observers who also suggest China's real defense spending is probably considerably higher than it claims. Will other countries in the region feel threatened enough following the recent test to ramp up their own defense spending, and how should the United States respond? (3/12/2007) |
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Leon V. Sigal, Social Science Research Council
Response: China’s announced increase in its defense budget, coming on the heels of its successful test of an anti-satellite weapon, has been seized on by those in Washington who are eager to confront China or counter its growing military might. Their fearmongering is not warranted.
China’s military buildup is much more restrained than it is capable of, both economically and technologically. China has de... more
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Andrew Small, German Marshall Fund
Response: Barring a major economic setback, the expansion of Chinese military capacities is a given. The anti-satellite test is likely to be one of a number of further developments, whether it be a Chinese blue-water navy or greater sophistication in China’s nuclear capabilities, that will become a serious subject of concern to the United States and China’s neighbors in the coming years. The task this poses... more
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Kerry Brown, Chatham House & Dir. Strategic China
Response: Since 1949, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has stressed its benign intent. Its leaders and policy makers have referred to its non-aggressive territorial strategy. Its disputes, over Taiwan, the Spratley Isles, or the South China Sea, were presented as issues left over from history, which it was the PRC’s right to resolve, not indications of ambitions to spread influence beyond its borders in... more
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You Ji, University of New South Wales
Response: The PLA’s satellite killing exercise on 11 January 2007 caught many analysts by surprise. There have been many commentaries on this hot topic since then. Some of these are sensible analysis but others deliberately exaggerate the significance of the test. Although we do not know exactly why Beijing had to do this to arouse international concern, some objective assessments are necessary to unravel t... more
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Global Perspectives 2007 - 1/8/2007
IA-Forum presents a collection of short essays on the likely big issues around the world in 2007. (0... more... |
Responses to Iraq Study Report - 12/13/2006
Global commentary and discussion about the Iraq Study Report. (12/13/2006) more... |
Doha Round Failure: What Next? - 11/15/2006
In the wake of the failure of the Doha round, what does the future hold for world trade? What can, a... more... |
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