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Impact of Minimum Wages on Employment and Poverty
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By Ayesha Choudhry and Mehreen Shahzadi

 

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of minimum wages on employment and poverty, analyzing both global and Pakistani contexts. It begins by outlining the historical evolution of minimum wage policies, followed by a discussion of the theoretical frameworks underpinning the topic, including living wage theory. The main body presents a detailed examination of global case studies and comparative analyses, highlighting mixed effects on employment but positive impacts on poverty reduction. It then focuses on the Pakistani scenario, addressing the challenges and outcomes associated with minimum wage regulations.

Introduction:

The impact of minimum wages on employment and poverty is a pivotal area of study within labor economics. Minimum wage regulations are designed to ensure fair compensation for workers, reduce poverty, and enhance living standards. Understanding their implications is essential for policymakers, economists, and stakeholders globally, as these regulations have far-reaching effects on both economic and social systems.

Minimum wage regulations have a storied history. The concept first emerged in Australia and New Zealand in the late 19th century, aiming to protect workers from exploitation and to establish a living wage. In the United States, the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938 established the federal minimum wage, setting a precedent for labor standards globally. Since then, many countries have adopted and periodically adjusted their minimum wages to reflect changing economic conditions and social needs.

This topic is chosen to delve into the dual objectives of minimum wage policies: enhancing worker welfare and maintaining employment levels. By examining various theoretical perspectives and empirical evidence, this paper seeks to provide a nuanced understanding of the effects of minimum wages, supported by facts and figures. This exploration is particularly pertinent for Pakistan, where debates over minimum wage adjustments are ongoing amidst economic challenges.

Theoretical Framework:

Living Wage Theory:

The living wage theory is rooted in social justice and labor movements that advocate for wages sufficient to meet workers’ basic needs. This theory prioritizes the ethical and social implications of wage policies. While the concept has historical roots in early labor movements, it gained significant traction in the late 20th and early 21st centuries with the rise of global labor standards and advocacy for fair wages. Various labor activists and organizations have championed the living wage theory, pushing for wage standards that ensure a decent quality of life for workers.

Living wage theory advocates that minimum wages should ensure a living standard that allows workers to meet basic needs. This perspective emphasizes the social justice aspect of wage policies, arguing that wages should not only reflect market dynamics but also guarantee a decent standard of living, reducing poverty and inequality. This theory supports the notion that minimum wages are a tool for social equity and economic stability.

Global Context of Minimum Wages:

Minimum wage policies vary significantly across countries, reflecting different economic conditions, labor market structures, and social policies. In developed economies like the United States, United Kingdom, and European Union countries, minimum wage regulations are well-established and regularly updated. Developing countries, including many in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, have also implemented minimum wage policies, although enforcement and effectiveness can vary widely.

Case Studies and Comparative Analysis

Examining the impact of minimum wages globally reveals a complex picture. For instance, studies in the United States have shown mixed effects on employment, with some research indicating minimal to no impact on job loss, while others highlight negative effects on low-skilled employment. In contrast, the United Kingdom’s National Minimum Wage, introduced in 1999, is often cited as a successful example, with studies showing positive effects on wages and little evidence of adverse employment effects.

Impact on Poverty and Inequality

Globally, minimum wage increases have been shown to reduce poverty and inequality to varying degrees. In countries with robust enforcement and social policies, minimum wages can significantly improve living standards for low-income workers. However, the extent of these benefits often depends on the initial wage levels, the magnitude of the increase, and complementary social policies such as tax credits and social security benefits.

Minimum Wage Policies in Pakistan

Pakistan’s minimum wage policies have evolved over the years, reflecting changing economic conditions and labor market needs. The Minimum Wages Ordinance of 1961 laid the foundation for wage regulation, but enforcement has often been challenging due to economic constraints and informal labor markets. The current minimum wage in Pakistan is periodically reviewed and adjusted by provincial governments, aiming to balance economic growth with social welfare.

Empirical Evidence and Impact on Employment.

Empirical studies on the impact of minimum wage policies in Pakistan are limited but growing. Research indicates that minimum wage increases have mixed effects on employment, similar to global trends. While some sectors experience job losses, particularly among informal and low-skilled workers, others show resilience and adaptability. The impact also varies by region, with urban areas generally better able to absorb wage increases than rural areas.

Impact on Poverty and Living Standards

Minimum wage increases in Pakistan have had notable effects on poverty and living standards, particularly in urban centers. By raising the wage floor, these policies aim to improve the livelihoods of low-income workers and reduce income inequality. However, the effectiveness of these measures is often hampered by high inflation rates, weak enforcement mechanisms, and the prevalence of informal labor.

Conclusion:

The impact of minimum wages on employment and poverty is complex and multifaceted, reflecting diverse economic conditions, labor market dynamics, and social policies. Globally, these regulations have shown mixed effects on employment but generally positive impacts on poverty reduction and living standards. In Pakistan, minimum wage policies have evolved amidst significant economic challenges, with varying outcomes across different regions and sectors. Theoretical perspectives such as living wage theory provide valuable insights into these dynamics. Policymakers must carefully consider these theories and empirical evidence to design effective minimum wage policies that balance the needs of workers and employers, promote social equity, and support sustainable economic growth.

Ayesha Choudhry and Mehreen Shahzadi are economics students at National Defence University, Islamabad

References:

1. Card, D., & Krueger, A. B. (1994). Minimum Wages and Employment: A Case Study of the Fast-Food Industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania. American Economic Review 84(4), 772-793.

2. Neumark, D., & Wascher, W. (2008). Minimum Wages. MIT Press.

3. Dickens, R., Riley, R., & Wilkinson, D. (2010). The Impact on Employment of the Age Related Increases in the National Minimum Wage. Economica, 77(308), 234-240.

4. Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. (2022). Labour Force Survey 2021-22. Government of Pakistan.

5. World Bank. (2023). Global Economic Prospects. World Bank Publications.

6.https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.finance.gov.pk/survey_2023.html

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7.https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/

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8.https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.researchgate.net/publication/257885426_

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